Macro and traditional finance
Bessent to testify before House Financial Services Committee
Why it matters: Bessent's tone on the deficit and rates will shape yield moves and risk appetite, including for bitcoin and crypto assets.
Bybit warns of sharp bitcoin volatility ahead of Fed meeting
Why it matters: The Fed meeting's outcome is unpredictable for BTC, threatening sharp price moves and liquidations in both directions.
Four macro threats weigh on bitcoin, risking a drop below $76,000
Why it matters: Simultaneous tightening by the Fed and the Bank of Japan threatens to unwind carry trades and drain liquidity from risk assets, including crypto.
ECB invites merchants to digital euro pilot in 2027
Why it matters: The pilot brings the launch of a CBDC in the eurozone closer, which could change payment infrastructure and competition with stablecoins.
US August inflation hits 3.4% as Fed weighs rate decision on Sept 15-16
Why it matters: The Fed's decision will shape the dollar and risk assets, including bitcoin, in the coming weeks.
Morgan Stanley expects Fed rate hikes in September and December
Why it matters: A longer Fed tightening cycle will keep rates high and increase pressure on risk assets, including Bitcoin and the crypto market.
US 30-year Treasury yield tops 5.40%, highest since 2007
Why it matters: Rising long-term US Treasury yields increase pressure on bitcoin and risk assets by making risk-free paper more attractive.
Arthur Hayes: Japanese capital repatriation could bring liquidity to bitcoin
Why it matters: The scenario of liquidity inflows in the event of Japanese capital repatriation is a potential bullish driver for BTC and ETH.
Bitcoin holds near $77.6K as Wall Street rotates into defensive assets
Why it matters: The market is awaiting the Fed meeting, and a flight to safety could add pressure on risk assets, including crypto.
US 10-year Treasury yield tops 5%, pressuring bitcoin and stocks
Why it matters: Rising Treasury yields intensify competition for capital and weigh on bitcoin; the Fed's decision will determine whether the pressure eases or intensifies.
Trump calls AI safety fears fiction, bitcoin holds near $78,000
Why it matters: Trump's rhetoric on AI lowers expectations of tough regulation, indirectly supporting the crypto-AI narrative.
Arthur Hayes: euro-yen drop signals Fed liquidity expansion and bitcoin rally
Why it matters: A signal of a possible Fed pivot toward expanding liquidity is a key bullish driver for BTC and ETH.
Analysts: core PCE could fall 100 bps without a rate hike
Why it matters: The argument against a Fed rate hike reduces macro pressure on bitcoin and risk assets.
FOMC begins two-day meeting, Pi Network upgrades protocol to version 27
Why it matters: The Fed's decision will determine the short-term trajectory of bitcoin and the entire crypto market.
Analysts: Fed and Bank of Japan Decisions Could Pressure Crypto Market
Why it matters: The outcomes of the Fed, Bank of Japan, and CLARITY Act vote within 24 hours will determine the direction of bitcoin and risk assets.
Fed extends pause in reserve-management purchases until October 14
Why it matters: Liquidity in the banking system remains sufficient, reducing the risk of sharp spikes in funding rates and supporting appetite for risk assets, including crypto.
Trump's $5,000 payout plan: bitcoin catalyst or speculative idea
Why it matters: There will be almost no real capital inflow into bitcoin from the payouts: without growth in stablecoin supply and ETF inflows, this is just news background rather than structural demand.
Bitcoin tops $79,000 after Trump signals end to war with Iran
Why it matters: Lower oil weakens inflationary pressure and raises the odds of a softer Fed policy, supporting risk assets including bitcoin.
Bitcoin rebounds above $78,000 despite Iran denying U.S. deal
Why it matters: Geopolitics and expensive oil weigh on risk assets, but BTC's rebound shows resilient demand amid expectations for a Fed decision.
Vitalik Buterin's AI warning called a possible Q4 crypto bear factor
Why it matters: Growing AI fears could amplify crypto volatility through a risk appetite shared with equities.