Regulation· ★★★· neutral·

Polymarket's US return reignites rivalry with Kalshi for retail prediction-market traders

  • —Polymarket operated outside the US for years after a 2022 CFTC settlement that included a fine and a US user block
  • —Kalshi secured CFTC approval and won court battles over election contracts while its rival was absent
  • —Competition will center on event catalog, fees and funding options — traditional dollars or stablecoins
  • —State regulators question whether sports contracts resemble traditional betting
Why it matters: More competition should improve terms for retail traders but squeeze platform margins and draw closer regulatory scrutiny to prediction markets.
Source: CriptoTendencias