Markets· ★★· neutral·

Kalshi Research: 82% of top prediction-market traders never worked in finance

  • —Survey covered 2,360 accounts with 325 responses — a 13.8% response rate
  • —82% of top P&L traders never worked full-time in finance
  • —91% of top traders are not full-time traders
  • —Average probabilistic reasoning score was 2.42/4 versus 0.62 for the general public
Why it matters: The findings challenge the assumption that institutions dominate prediction markets, a key point for regulators weighing retail access.
Source: ChainCatcher 链捕手