Polymarket Odds Flip: Traders Now Price 57% Chance of Fed Pause in October
- —Polymarket: no change at 57%, 25bp hike at 42%, 50bp+ hike near 1%
- —On September 27, traders priced a 64% chance of a hike
- —The October Fed contract has attracted roughly $18 million in volume
- —The 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.116%, its highest since July 2007
Why it matters: Easing rate-hike odds reduce pressure on risk assets, but the October 27–28 decision remains far from locked in.
Source: Coinspeaker