Macro· ★★★★· bearish·

Polymarket Prices 65% Odds of October Fed Hike as Citi Expects a Hold

  • Polymarket: 65% odds of a 25bp hike in October, 35% for a hold
  • FOMC meets October 27–28, with the decision due on the second day
  • Citi forecasts the Fed holding rates in both October and December
  • The Fed raised rates by 25bp to 3.75–4.00% in September
Why it matters: Higher rates pressure risk assets including crypto, and the October 27–28 decision will set the market tone through year-end.
Source: TokenPost