Macro and traditional finance
New Fed forecast: rate near 4.1% by end-2026 hints at another hike
Why it matters: The signal of an additional hike and the fate of rate cuts in 2027 will set the tone for risk assets, including bitcoin.
Market sees 90% chance of 25 bps Fed rate hike
Why it matters: The FOMC decision will set the direction for Bitcoin and risk assets; a pause instead of a hike could trigger a rebound.
Jiang Zhuoer: market to fall first after Fed decision, Bitcoin may hit $84,000
Why it matters: The forecast sets benchmarks for traders ahead of the Fed meeting: a possible drop to $75,000 followed by a rebound.
ECB seeks online and mobile merchants for 12-month digital euro pilot
Why it matters: The pilot brings the launch of a euro-area CBDC closer, which could reshape retail payments and strengthen transaction oversight.
Market prices in 87% odds of a Fed rate hike: what it means for bitcoin and gold
Why it matters: The Fed decision and rate forecasts will set the direction for bitcoin and the broader crypto market in the coming weeks.
US Treasury sells 20-year bonds at record 5.42% yield
Why it matters: High long-term US bond yields pull capital away from risk assets and limit bitcoin's upside.
Bitcoin under pressure ahead of first Fed rate hike in three years
Why it matters: The Fed decision will determine bitcoin's short-term trajectory: holding support opens the way to gains, while a breakdown would intensify selling.
CBO: US direct costs of Iran war reach $38 billion, PCE may rise 0.5 pp
Why it matters: Rising energy prices and US government debt increase pressure on inflation and yields, which historically weighs on bitcoin and risk assets.
Bitcoin stuck in 5.5% range ahead of Fed decision
Why it matters: The Fed decision will set the direction: a return of demand could trigger a breakout higher, while weak ETF flows and rising real yields cap gains.
Bitcoin survives Fed pre-meeting: $70,000 is the key test
Why it matters: Holding $70,000 would preserve the August rebound; a break below opens the way to the $62,000-65,000 long-term holder accumulation zone.
10-year US Treasury yield holds above 5% ahead of Fed decision
Why it matters: Rising yields and expectations of a rate hike increase pressure on risk assets, including bitcoin and the crypto market.
UK inflation rises to 3.1% ahead of Bank of England rate decision
Why it matters: A hawkish signal for the Bank of England amid ECB tightening and an expected Fed rate hike — pressure on risk assets, including crypto.
Bitcoin loses correlation with dollar index and US stocks ahead of Fed
Why it matters: The breakdown in correlations reduces the predictability of BTC moves from macro factors and increases the role of crypto-specific drivers.
Bitcoin traders brace for Fed rate hike, but a pause may be riskier
Why it matters: The Fed's decision will set bitcoin's direction: a pause instead of the expected hike could trigger sharp volatility.
Bitcoin at $77,000 ahead of Fed decision: $80,000 as key trigger
Why it matters: Dovish Fed signals could return BTC to $80,000, while hawkish ones would increase pressure on $76,000.
MUFG: market has priced in a 25 bps Fed hike, dollar needs a more hawkish signal
Why it matters: The Fed's tone on further tightening will determine the trajectory of the dollar and risk assets, including bitcoin.
Fed to hike rate to 4.0% as bitcoin falls after CLARITY Act failure
Why it matters: A rate hike and the failure of crypto legislation increase pressure on risk assets; Warsh's tone will set the market's direction.
U.S. August CPI rises to 3.4%, Waller allows for either a pause or a hike in September
Why it matters: The outcome of the Fed's September 15-16 meeting will determine the trajectory of bitcoin and risk assets; the market is pricing in a rate hike.
After CLARITY Act failure, market awaits Fed rate decision
Why it matters: The Fed's rate decision and the failure of U.S. crypto legislation set the direction for bitcoin and the broader market in the coming days.
US 10-Year Treasury Yield Hits Highest Since 2007, Bitcoin Under Pressure
Why it matters: Rising Treasury yields reduce appetite for risk assets including bitcoin and could accelerate capital outflows from crypto.