Regulation· ★★★· bearish·

Polymarket: traders price Democratic sweep and no Fed cut in 2026

  • —Democrats: 90.5% for the House, 64.5% for the Senate
  • —Full Democratic sweep scenario priced at 62.5%
  • —96.9% probability the Fed makes no rate cut in 2026
  • —Clarity Act signing in 2026 at 5.1%; BTC above $100K at 20.5%
Why it matters: A divided Congress and a frozen Fed lower the odds of crypto legislation and keep pressure on risk assets, bitcoin included.
#BTC
Source: CryptoActu
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