Regulation· ★★★★· bearish·

Appeals Courts Increasingly Side With States in Prediction Market Fight

  • —Sixth Circuit lifted Kalshi's injunction against Tennessee, holding its sports contracts are not swaps under the CEA
  • —Appellate scoreboard now 2-1 against Kalshi: Ninth and Sixth Circuits against, Third Circuit in favor
  • —New York sued Polymarket over alleged unlicensed sports wagering, including allowing users aged 18-20
  • —New Jersey, Robinhood and Crypto.com have asked the Supreme Court to review prediction market rulings
Why it matters: The outcome will determine whether prediction markets can operate nationwide under CFTC licenses or must comply with state gambling laws.
Source: Bankless