Regulation· ★★★· neutral·

Prediction markets move into stocks: $220M on Polymarket as regulators split

  • —Polymarket has over $220M staked across 31,000 stock-linked markets
  • —About 60% of equity bets target Nvidia, Alphabet, Apple and Tesla
  • —Kalshi opens roughly 2,500 markets daily on indices and corporate KPIs
  • —One wallet executed 1,300 Apple trades for $175,000 in volume
Why it matters: Without clear SEC or CFTC oversight, prediction markets could sway stock prices and raise insider-trading risks.
Source: Bithub