Macro· ★★★★· bearish·

Market prices 80.5% odds of Fed rate hike at September 15-16 meeting

  • Probability of a rate hike at the September 15-16 meeting is 80.5%
  • Median FOMC forecast: one rate hike in 2026
  • Current Fed rate range is 3.50-3.75%
  • Investors are advised to shorten bond duration in portfolios
Why it matters: A rate hike would increase pressure on risk assets, including Bitcoin, and could trigger outflows from crypto into short-term bonds.
Source: Crypto Briefing