Macro· ★★★★· bearish·

Fed rate hike odds at 85%: Warsh vs Trump

  • Probability of a rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting exceeded 85%
  • TD Bank and JPMorgan revised their forecasts in favor of a hike
  • Trump demands a rate cut, while Warsh insists on Fed independence
  • In July, three FOMC members voted for a rate hike
Why it matters: The Fed's decision will determine the trajectory of the dollar and risk assets, including bitcoin, in the coming weeks.
Source: Bloomingbit