Macro· ★★★★· bearish·

BofA: Fed Under Warsh Could Raise Rates Above 5%

  • BofA expects 2-year UST yields at 5% versus about 4.7% now
  • Swaps price in three 0.25 percentage point hikes to 4.5–4.75%
  • According to the Taylor rule, the funds rate should be around 5.3%
  • BofA's economist expects two hikes — in October and December
Why it matters: A more aggressive Fed cycle will increase pressure on the crypto market and risk assets, supporting the dollar and yields.
Source: DiarioBitcoin