Polymarket: 84% odds of another Fed rate hike in 2026
- —84% — probability of another Fed rate hike before the end of 2026
- —57% of traders expect exactly two hikes, 50–51% — a hike in October
- —The Fed raised its benchmark rate on Sept. 16 by 25 bps to 3.75–4.00%
- —Core PCE at 3.4% versus the Fed's 2% target
Why it matters: The on-chain prediction market aligns with CME futures, reinforcing expectations of tight policy and pressure on the crypto market.
Source: Crypto Briefing