Macro· ★★★★· neutral·

Polymarket puts 95% odds on Fed holding rates in October, 5% on a hike

  • —Polymarket: hold at 95%, 25 bp hike at 5%, cut below 1%
  • —September US CPI rose 3.7% y/y versus 3.4% in August, and 0.6% m/m
  • —Core CPI up 0.3% m/m and 2.6% y/y
  • —The Fed decision is due October 29 at 00:00 UTC
Why it matters: A pause after September's hike sets the tone for bitcoin and risk assets as traders look for signals on the Fed's next move.
Source: TokenPost