Regulation· ★★★· bearish·

CLARITY Act faces new hurdles as Democrats may gain in midterms

  • —Prediction markets put the odds of CLARITY Act becoming law by end-2026 at 4%
  • —Senator Mike Lee's probability of voting yes is priced at about 6%
  • —The Senate's 60-vote threshold remains the main obstacle to the bill
  • —Democratic gains could add consumer-protection and oversight amendments
Why it matters: Without CLARITY Act, U.S. crypto rules will be set by SEC and CFTC enforcement, keeping regulatory uncertainty high for issuers and exchanges.
Source: Crypto Briefing