Regulation· ★★★★★· neutral· September 14, 10:06

CLARITY Act passage odds rise to 30% on Polymarket after Senate amendments

—The updated bill includes 114+ Democratic proposals
—60 votes are needed to overcome cloture; Republicans hold 53 seats
—The new version requires registration of non-decentralized protocols with the CFTC
—The House passed its version on July 17, 2025, by 294-134

Why it matters: The September 15 vote will determine whether the U.S. crypto industry gets clear rules; failure would delay adoption until 2027.