Market sees 45% chance of Fed rate hike in October
- —Probability of a Fed pause in October is 55%, a 25 bps hike is 45%
- —The September hike raised the rate to the 3.75–4.00% range
- —A 25 bps cut in October is priced at only 4%
- —The dot plot allows for one more hike by year-end
Why it matters: Uncertainty over the Fed rate remains a key driver of volatility for bitcoin and risk assets.
Source: Bitcoin Sistemi