Macro· ★★★· neutral·

BNY's Velis: Fed to hold in October, December hike may be the last of the cycle

  • —Velis sees a hold on Oct. 27-28 and a hike on Dec. 8-9
  • —Implied policy rate path through December 2027 has eased from peak hawkish levels
  • —Velis attributes inflation mainly to supply factors rather than demand
  • —September 15-16 minutes floated further hikes but gave no timing
Why it matters: If December proves to be the final hike, market rate expectations could reprice lower, supporting risk assets including bitcoin.
Source: TokenPost