Polymarket Prices 61% Odds US Lifts Iran Blockade by March 2027
- —The contract has traded $41.4 million since July with about $430,000 in liquidity
- —Nearly 22 points of probability sit in the first quarter of 2027 alone
- —CENTCOM says the blockade has blocked $25 billion in Iranian crude exports
- —The US and partners have frozen nearly $350 million in Iranian crypto
Why it matters: With Gulf crude still flowing, the blockade alone barely moves BTC; a supply disruption would hit risk assets via inflation and rate expectations.
Source: 99Bitcoins