Macro· ★★★· neutral·

Bitcoin faces volatility risk around Nov. 3 US midterms, history shows

  • —Bitcoin rose 30.91% and 6.61% in the month after the 2010 and 2014 midterms
  • —BTC dropped 47.13% after the 2018 vote and 18.15% after 2022
  • —Those selloffs coincided with the BCH hard fork in 2018 and the FTX collapse in 2022
  • —The Nov. 3, 2026 midterms come just before the Fed's Oct. 27–28 meeting
Why it matters: Traders may price in higher BTC volatility in early November, though past declines were driven by unrelated events.
Source: Blockmedia