Macro· ★★★· bearish·

Japanese investors hold $145B in French bonds, raising capital repatriation risk

  • —Japanese investors hold 23 trillion yen ($145B) of OATs, 6.6% of their foreign debt
  • —After hedging, 10-year OATs yield only ~0.4 points more than JGBs
  • —Japanese holdings of French debt have fallen 2.5% since late 2025
  • —In August 2024 yen repatriation sent BTC from $65,000 to $49,000 in a week
Why it matters: A broad repatriation of Japanese capital could pressure risk assets, including bitcoin, as it did in August 2024.
Source: Journal du Coin