Macro· ★★★· neutral·

Bitcoin near $86K: four macro events this week to set BTC direction

  • —Odds of an October Fed rate hike fell to 18% after payrolls rose just 29,000
  • —FOMC minutes from the Sept 15-16 meeting are due Oct 7 and will show appetite for further tightening
  • —University of Michigan sentiment index fell to 48.1 in September
  • —Jobless claims held near 197,000, with the four-week average at 200,000
Why it matters: Soft macro data would reinforce a Fed pause and support risk assets; strong prints would renew pressure on bitcoin.
Source: Comparic