Polymarket: Democrats at 92.5% to win the House

• —Democrats: 92.5% for the House (-1 pt on the week) and 67.5% for the Senate (+2 pts)
• —A Democratic sweep of both chambers is priced at 66.5%; full Republican control at 7.5%
• —Probability of zero Fed rate cuts in 2026 stands at 96%, unchanged over seven days
• —CLARITY Act signature in 2026 priced at 5%; BTC above $100,000 by Dec. 31 at 39% (+3.5 pts)