Regulation· ★★★★· bullish·

CFTC moves to classify prediction market contracts as swaps, exclude gambling

  • —The CFTC submitted both draft rules to the OMB on Sept. 28, labeling them 'not economically significant'
  • —One rule adds event contracts to the swap definition; the other removes gambling products from it
  • —The Sixth and Eighth Circuit courts have ruled that Kalshi's sports contracts are not swaps
  • —Mike Selig is the CFTC's only sitting commissioner and is advancing the rules alone
Why it matters: If adopted, the rules would give prediction markets federal standing and shield them from state gambling laws; otherwise the Supreme Court is likely to decide.
Source: 動區 BlockTempo