Kalshi Traders Cut Odds of Bitcoin Hitting $100K in 2026 to 34%
- —Kalshi's $100K-in-2026 contract rose from 17% on Sept. 16 to 43% on Sept. 22, then eased to 34%
- —Polymarket prices the same Dec. 31 target at 34.5%, with its March 2027 contract near 50%
- —Bitcoin peaked just above $97,000 in January and needs a roughly 20% rally from $83,100
- —About $500 million in leveraged positions were liquidated in 24 hours as BTC fell below $83,000
Why it matters: Prediction markets show traders are not ruling out $100,000 but are pushing the timeline out amid rising oil prices and expectations of a Fed rate hike.
Source: Bitcoin.com