Exchanges· ★★★★· bearish·

Quant trader accuses Kalshi of wash trading $11.5B in volumes

  • $5,500 orders drove 59% of Kalshi's ETH futures volume; $5,000 and $2,500 orders drove 57% of BTC volume
  • On Aug. 24 order sizes switched from $4,500 to $5,500 and from $4,000/$2,100 to $5,000/$2,500 within about 10 seconds
  • Kalshi's daily ETH perpetual volume is 60x its open interest, versus 1–2x at Binance
  • Fixed ETH orders correlate with Binance volume at 0.19, versus 0.72 for other Kalshi trades
Why it matters: The allegations could trigger regulatory scrutiny, market-maker withdrawals and a rethink of Kalshi's $30.4 billion valuation.
Source: ChainCatcher 链捕手