DeFi· ★★★· neutral·

Lighter may launch prediction markets with HIP-3-style whitelisted operators

  • Lighter's codebase shows a "Binary options support" commit for binary-outcome markets
  • Shares trade between zero and a settlement cap, fully collateralized in USDC
  • No leverage or liquidations — payout depends only on the event outcome
  • A whitelisted market-operator model similar to HIP-3 is under consideration
Why it matters: Prediction markets on Lighter would intensify competition with Polymarket and Kalshi and expand on-chain event betting.
Source: PANews