Markets· ★★★· neutral·

Prediction markets: 84% for $84,000, but only 25% for $100,000 by year-end

  • Myriad: 84% for $84,000 vs 16% for $55,000 with $242K volume
  • Polymarket: $85,000 — 80%, $90,000 — 59%, $100,000 — 25%, $150,000 — 2%
  • Kalshi: 25% for $100,000 by January 2027, 4% for $150,000
  • Polymarket: 48% for a drop to $70,000 by end-2026
Why it matters: Prediction markets show traders expect limited BTC upside this year and do not believe in six-figure levels until 2027.
Source: Bitcoin.com