Markets· ★★★· bullish·

Analyst James Check: Bitcoin Getting Boring Is the Bull Case

  • —Bitcoin's 1-month realized volatility is 25.2%, calmer than on only ~5% of days since 2015
  • —The yearly volatility band narrowed from 55–78% in mid-2022 to about 30–52%
  • —The drawdown from the $126K peak to $58,379 on June 30 was roughly 54%
  • —JPMorgan projects 10% annual BTC returns versus 7.5% for US large caps and 5.5% for gold
Why it matters: Falling volatility could push institutions to allocate to Bitcoin; Check expects the quiet phase to end once BTC clears $100K.
Source: BeInCrypto