Markets· ★★★· neutral·

Bitcoin beat the S&P 500 on 56% of October sessions but still fell 4.25% for the month

  • —Bitcoin's average edge in winning sessions was 0.71%, versus a 1.44% shortfall in losing ones
  • —IBIT took in $5.7 billion from Aug. 3 to Oct. 26; all other funds combined added $221 million
  • —Stablecoin supply is $12.7 billion below its May peak and the Coinbase premium stayed negative all October
  • —The ETF cost basis sits near $81,300, with a break below $77,000–77,800 exposing $73,000–75,000
Why it matters: Bitcoin's recovery rests on a single fund; flows into rival ETFs, stablecoin supply and the Coinbase premium will show whether demand broadens.
Source: CryptoSlate