Markets· ★★· neutral·

Kalshi gave Anthropic's pre-Nov. 1 IPO announcement under 1% odds

  • —Kalshi priced the odds of an Anthropic IPO announcement before Nov. 1 at under 1% through October
  • —Anthropic filed for an IPO despite near-zero odds on the prediction market
  • —The ANTH contract on Hyperliquid traded $12 million in a single day
Why it matters: The miss on a major event undermines confidence in prediction-market pricing for crypto and tech catalysts.
Source: Seeking Alpha Crypto
More on this
Markets · 02:00
Kalshi traders put 95% odds on Anthropic IPO announcement before 2027
 Markets · yesterday
trade.xyz launches pre-IPO perpetual market ANT tied to Anthropic shares
 Markets · Sep 30
Anthropic pre-IPO perpetual volume hits $643M as IPO repricing risk looms