Market prices just 3% odds of a new Bitcoin record in 2026
- —Polymarket: 3% odds BTC exceeds $130,000 before 2026 ends
- —Deribit options imply 20–25% chance of touching $100,000
- —BTC at $82,000–$85,000, down 25–34% from the $126,080 peak
- —2026 low near $58,000 marked a drawdown of more than 50%
Why it matters: The $100,000 level is the line to watch: traders still see a future record, just not within the next two months.
Source: Crypto Briefing