Markets· ★★★· neutral·

Prediction markets price Tesla-SpaceX merger above 50% by spring 2027

  • —Kalshi puts the odds of a Tesla-SpaceX merger by spring 2027 above 50%
  • —Longer-dated contracts price higher odds of a deal
  • —Kalshi contracts track the probability of a merger before March
Why it matters: A merger would combine two of the largest corporate bitcoin treasuries, a material event for the BTC market.
Source: Seeking Alpha Crypto