Markets· ★★★· bearish·

Over $600M in Polymarket Election Volume Traded After Races Ended

  • —Ethiopia market saw $285M in volume, with $284M from paired accounts trading with each other
  • —Only $173K was wagered on Abiy Ahmed winning versus $41M on his chief of staff
  • —Trading continued for 123 days after Ahmed's party won 438 parliamentary seats
  • —On the Romania market, 99.6% of weekly volume was flagged as wash trading
Why it matters: The findings undercut Polymarket's 'truth machine' narrative and raise the odds of regulatory scrutiny of prediction markets.
Source: Wired Crypto