Bitcoin's Uptober at Risk: $484.9M ETF Outflow and Oct 28 Fed Meeting Loom

• —Bitcoin closed October higher in 10 of 13 years from 2013 to 2025, with an 18.52% average return and a 12.73% median
• —ETFs lost $484.9 million on October 7, the largest single-day outflow in over three months, erasing early-October inflows
• —From October 1-8, IBIT gained $332.5 million while FBTC lost $408.1 million and ARKB $214.9 million, for a net $407.4 million outflow
• —CME FedWatch puts the odds of a pause on October 28 at 80.6%, up from 42.5% a month earlier, with a 25 bps hike at 19.4%